Category Archives: pedigree research

he who shall reign: The Autumn Sun

13 Wednesday Mar 2019

Posted by in Australian Bloodstock analysis, Bloodstock analysis, genotype, genus, pedigree analysis, pedigree research, race horse breeding, racehorse analysis, racehorse pedigree analyzer, The Autumn Sun, thoroughbred pedigree analysis, thoroughbred racehorse analysis, Winx

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“he will have to be good to win from there….” – The Autumn Sun – racing commentary 

Australian bred, The Autumn Sun, a 3 year colt undoubtedly is awesome plus. His exceptional winning finish to the Group I, Randwick Guineas (1600m).

Pedigree devotees can recapture attributes of pedigree and breeding commentary (older post): genus reflects: The Autumn Sun. https://www.pedigreequery.com/the+autumn+sun

read on for more breeding thoughts…..

TBL explores how (as most of our pedigree and breeding analysis blog has to-date) to discover genus characteristics (foundational) – those deeper ‘formative’ lines.

The emphasis towards a wider context, genetic relations: a fundamental concept towards a homozygous individual.

Sires and their genetics, their female strains, their own foundational contributors i.e. Ribot/Sunstar comments below ) contributes the overall assessment: every individual pedigree is pivotal to depth & breeding ‘thrust’.

Skill and perception over algorithem quantity in/of dosages to few in-breds or of greater, line bred individuals.

…to make clear that by balanced breeding I do not mean a mere literal transcription of identical figures, but a broader concept of equilibrium of influences.

figures and numbers, however accurate, will never quite replace our own personal judgement and feeling, even when looking at a complete dosage diagram….

Franco Varola

Some pedigree fans might suggest a sire or dam further back 5th remove beyond….is lesser or insignficant: claiming it cannot have significant contribution to the overall pedigree.

We shall beg to differ in that a necessary rarer trait has indeed carried: has mitchondrial DNA which is genetic of infinite TB existence and viewing the original ‘sunray’ pedigree wheels hopefully may illuminate some appreciation over conventional arrangement.

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This ‘holistic’ or ‘synergistic’ build-up is so intricate, complex and fine-textured that is is invisible to the human eye – Ross du Bourg

By reading past accounts “a magnificent looking, long-barrelled chestnut – best sprinter of his time in England – founded a line of smart, short running sprinters in Australia and New Zeland – preocious, fast-maturing animals” commentary credited to Gold Bridge (FR) sired by Golden Boss, (The Boss line)it indeed emphasises the Classic Thoroughbred , something else high-class which surely stages it ‘living-on’ influence. (Golden Boss per Autumn Sun’s dam: view 6th remove, sire of mare *Rough Shod and her grand-daughter SPECIAL (ff – 5h)!!! hence 2x. Plus Ribero (USA) maternal infusion of G.B

We stress to convey, breeding merits through high-class & almost obscure strains project an undefined breeding edge – they pop-up/’in’ to many a superior performer, as today’s bred, and that in itself is ‘wonder’ and proof-to-the-eye!

Thus, there is the manipulation to a new cross to yet again, another ‘level’.

A persistance of speed or stamina determinants alone without deeper, thoughtful consideration to ‘working’:  the perfecting of thoroughbred as ‘balanced’ sound speciman, its phenotype, to its adaptability, ability, capability, temperament, gait, tempo where there happens to be there…..of considerable breeding typology expanses – through to the eventual variances of ‘type’ produced.

The hereditary actors that determine physical, mental and nervous constitution are transmitted by means of microscopic chemical substances called genes, which are units of inheritance. Each gene is responsible for a seperate characteristic or ‘character’. The science of the inheritance of characters is called genetics, and the whole inherited make-up, or genetic constitution, of an individual is known as its genotype. A genotype consists of thousands of genes. Peter Willett – An Introduction to the Thoroughbred

Application towards ability, capability, gait, tempo, temperament, its ‘looks’, as breeding ‘traits’ require careful practice – these breeding aspects have strong impact.

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The love of breeding – ‘ balanced correctness’ is a principle that demands consistent application through every generation, every cycle with ‘eye’ upon the individual’s conformation, natural constitution of strengths or its weaknesses.

With responsibility to crafting breeding…studying past heritage, ancestral bloodlines, nature of inheritances can aid decisions to ‘where’ the pedigree maintains, improves or even diffuses its quality.

The more pedigree analysis as information, the more ‘indicators’  KPI’s will come to light through major influential strains.

Evaluating strains…..an Aga Khan bred, The Autumn Sun dam Azmiyna (IRE) note the grand-dams sire Lear Fan (USA) a son of Roberto → Hail to Reason.  A siring line as strains to the best of the best.

– those strains we collate here –  The super-nova of fillies & mares.

What TBL failed to mention genus reflects: The Autumn Sun was Lear Fan (USA) female family through to the granddam, daughter of War Admiral, son of the greater-than-thou Man O’ War.  timeless…. Man O’ War.

Additionally note Nantallah (USA) son of Nasrullah, another KPI strain noteable, as noted to collective breeding re: The super-nova of fillies & mares

How ‘close’ to the pedigree Man O’ War sits…. and once again do not get confused with the identity but revel in strain/trait as carrier/genetic coding the Infusion to bloodlines.

 – to quote late Ross du Bourg, Australian bloodstock writer “human intelligence and intervention can introduce the high degree of superior homozygosity that is critical to the production of outstanding racehorses.”

All animal breeding is the mastering of traits.

Converge genetics upon the finest – nucleus bloodlines. Redoubtes Choice (AUS) to dam’s sire Canny Lad (AUS) →  Bletchingly →→→ War Relic (USA), son of Man O’War.

Maternal – 3rd dam sire, Darshaan (GB) maternal →→→War Relic

There are 9x’s of Man O’War.

(sidenote, please do not assign a meaning that MOW is sum-total to Autumn Sun pedigee as indeed other highly influential individuals are necessary. The important point: what sits behind breeding application is ‘how’ the sire (broodmare sire) across maternal of the broodmare sire(s) may invigorate or stimulate a reinforcement strain belonging to that individual.)

Remember it is not how many, but the superior dominant gene which takes the trophy.

Ross du Bourg writer of The Australian and New Zealand Thoroughbred  – “Influence was, I decided, the crucial ‘missing link’ in the whole body of writing on the theory of successful thoroughbred breeding. This was my reasoning: the quality (as opposed to the quantity) of the ancestor that is duplicated once or several times is an *important ‘invisible factor’ in the ultimate inherited racing potential of the foal.”

….allow the law of prepotency (influence) to overrule and marginally compensate the law of proportion (contribution)

Review also mare’s 4th dam sire Ribero (USA) the son of Ribot. Only 2X’s you may say ? What is the relevancy?

Two strains clearly ‘central’/ close/direct…..infusion. This STRAINto RIBOT, location IS IMPORTANT TO REALIZE!

However, this is not what captures our interest!! No, no…..it is the fact…. the Tesio bred Ribot is in-bred to Sun Star (GB), the son of sire Sundridge.

Sundridge – the x-factoring KPI  speed ‘roots’ Castelvecchio – breeding beyond ordinary

Winx – True Colours and Winx – workin’ them genes

To the terribly, under-rated ‘scored’ pedigree – the australian gelding Terbium by Terango (AUS) ex-Serene Lass (AUS) from Not a Single Doubt (AUS) re-stimulates the same foundational traits. (n.b. Terbium pedigree is our next blog-subject, winner of Group 3 Zeditave Stakes, 4 starts, 4 wins)

I have long pondered why the Sundridge trait to superior genetic pedigrees is speed tour de force as it stands behind breeding.

It can be said the ‘invisible’ ecological conditions approach a gradual ‘enclosed’ standard: breeding as a matter-of- course, developes itself towards exclusive stakes-racing speed, the racing program or product function, as it stands today.

It emerges only the finest, the adaptable, the agility.  Balance: aero-dynamics/muscular-skeleton TB ‘correctness’ – its balance of motion n’ time. That it comes through to the resulting phenotype and that is where racing class is sancrosanct.

The horse who is so bred as to be able to use himself mechanically to the best advantage for galloping at speed has on an average during the long history of the Turf come out on top. The beautiful symmetry, balance and elegance of the high-class racehorse have come about as they afford the horse, this advantage. Sir Charles Leister – Bloodstock Breeding

 

Cheers from New Zealand  cropped-nyme31478829496

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Karaka 2019, bring it on….

22 Tuesday Jan 2019

Posted by in Bloodstock analysis, classic thoroughbred pedigree, pedigree analysis, pedigree research, race horse breeding

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Its my favourite time of year to go along to New Zealand Bloodstock sales at Karaka.

I mark out the few ‘hot’ pedigrees (by TBL modis operandi) not so much to see the price they fetch, but to view the individual’s phenotype.

On parade one might see nice-types with added appeal – which on one’s own terms irks something ‘I want to know.’

Come, back home, we’ll work the pedigree and find how I reflected this.

I am pleased to say & without any arrogance I follow my instincts and hunches well.

I have followed those horses through…it takes a few years, for hunches to come to fruition as the nature of a horse’s development through to its racing.

This also applies to the stallions ‘suitability’ to mares.

In earlier TBL years – it was New Zealand’s Horse of the Year 2005/06: Seachange (Cape Cross/Just Cruising) where I forecasted well ahead she would be the NZ champ she became. This by methodology re: female family tables. There is no in-breeding to the 5th generation and I thought the workability of the pedigree was clear as day.

It’s however, not always about picking champions, its the ‘judgement’ where horses cannot develop on, although they might pick up a few wins in their early racing career. Young ‘big’ horses precocious athletes (hate that term, actually) blow out, amongst many things of course, but I do feel the genealogy pedigree doesn’t help them.

Expectation & disappointment are hard learning curves, yet great ‘teachers’.

I realize its a hard game to win credibility – can only say, I cut teeth on elements which I had not envisaged.

Though TBL has few followers, but with sufficient ‘hits’ to suggest our advisory has merits. I have come to understand people rather not leave a ‘calling-card’.

I started on pedigrees about 2006 and amongst my formative questions…. as it made me wonder how breeding New Zealand’s wonder mare Sunline, came to prominence, other than be labelled the genetic-freak, which doesn’t sound too kind.

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Sunline

Patterns of Nature: Phar Lap & Sunline

Anyway it is how ‘our’ pedigree analysis started and acquiring enough of a skill set to make at the very least, a fair judgment.

We have not adopted conventionality. Those same accounts have been here for eons and not much has changed other than smarter statistical reporting upon algorithms. i.e. everything has Nearco, Northern Dancer, Mr Prospector, Nasrullah. We just had to look what other possibilities there where to what was cutting the pedigree.

With simple complexity…. in-depth breeding principles do not & cannot change.

With other social media outlets… I have suggested each-to-their-own interpretation – bits of ‘info’ help others along every genetic jig-saw puzzle.

The TBL aim is to attempt to put different degrees or angles to the pedigree and in fact, it was Black Caviar’s pedigree Black Caviar: ‘diamonds’ within a pedigreewhich lead me to identify something better.  Yes in-breeding, line-breeding works but there is another ‘edge’ for which I have attempted to account for.

Its application is find the core, genus-type.

Genus breeding was well applied (meaningfully) by the earliest thoroughbred breeders in England because they where well acquainted with the history of the lines, the strains, which brought about the bloodlines. Namely, archetypal Eclipse whose many other strains within his pedigree where not accounted for and these are factors which I believe, have been brushed over by historians for convenience. Yes, I do have that antique literature from the horses mouth.

So elements, strains, traits, which I consider ‘lost’ over time, can allow or help us to help how pedigrees infuse, unfold and transpire.

Through this lens, the contemporary genus is emerging something extraordinary hence we blogged The super-nova of fillies & mares (It is an area where I will further explore down the track..)

I love the TBL blog, I love the research because I love to see horses succeed. I hate horses forced to race when no way in hell the pedigree will let them run.

2019 brings new opportunities, new horizons, new stallions, new horses, new challenges.

TBL believes it has helped many to find a confidence with their own breeding …..however the commercial sector have helped themselves for benefit.

Okay, I know its a cheapie website: public domain free-to-air, I find it perplexing one cannot at least offer a thumbs-up. Or, I agree to disagree and or other. Diktat

TBL has decided to step up and provide a new service which will be accessed by subscription with payment. More on this soon….

The ‘free’ blogs will be shorter content with less detail.

Cheers for now, cropped-nyme31478829496

 

 

 

 

what the bluebook won’t say & what genotype will say….

05 Saturday Jan 2019

Posted by in Bloodstock analysis, genotype, genus, pedigree research, Princequillo, racehorse analysis, Sir Tristram

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To research todays contemporary pedigrees when searched upon thoroughbred evolutionary breeding phrases challenges one’s optimism.

The considerations I apply to pedigrees has altered, as over a course of time – (new) sires and the breeding broodmare population vary accordingly through generational cycles.

The breeding thing called ‘genetics’ are never dialled-on-call, nor are they ever fixed. Genetics arrive from 5th-7th infusions, thus the genetic ‘adaptation’ or variation, is really the natural process-in-time.

Yep, you can’t change Nature and she knows ‘finer’ direction, – its jumping DNA.

The evolutionary breeding phrases WILL provide fair assumption of what has rightful inheritance towards quality thoroughbred & its sustainable future. Rightful inheritance those who ‘transmit’ quality. Not to diffuse, & that which may even confuse consolidation of female bloodlines.

Better effort is to arrive at ‘traits’ or the ‘strains’ within, (for genotype dominance) rather than through solely emphasizing that racing individual, upon its merits. nature genes

  • Princequillo male lines (forward & back) come very high on radar.img_20181012_125915-01211677342.jpeg

Whilst stating the obvious, global commercial male lines now tail to Nearco.

Who would think we are almost saying goodbye, see ya forever, to likes of staying fabric Hyperion, the dam Selene, her female family, the Southern Hemisphere amazing sire Sir Tristram, his grandson Might and Power (also ‘Selene’)

The election of Princequillo to the position of Supreme Dominator, under scientific classification of genetic merit, leads the provocative but reasoned assertion that Princequillo’s influence on the creation and shaping of the towering prepotency of Sir Tristram could be struck several percentage points of ‘transcendence’ high. credit: Ross du Bourg.

How is it  Hyperion, with Princequillo male lines is almost at an non-existent state?

How will young, speedy colts as commercial sires produce another???

Paradoxically new ‘roads less travelled’ may lay with the female/broodmare.

You may want to reflect… latest blog diamond in the rough

That good breeding is now forced to seek deep. Funny, how one opportune trait makes a pathway ‘correction’ within superior pedigree. That trait is structural/constitutional: not always about speed or stamina ability but another.

*It is a pity that through human sin much good material is wasted which was destined by Divine Nature to be chosen material.

The knowledge that sham is easier and cheaper to produce than the real thing, and the fact that there are still people enough who are deceived by sham, has just as much a deteriorating influence in the producing of wine, and other things, as in the breeding of horses. The craftiness of the breeder to produce showy stock very cheaply has often  made greater breeding progress than the expert knowledge of the consumer.

HORSE BREEDING (IN THEORY & PRACTICE) B. Von OETTINGEN  (1909)

Tough traits are extraordinary survivors, adaptors.

Littleprincessemma – the dam of American Pharoah (older blog) – American Pharoah pows a ‘Grand Slam’ clearly exhibited 3x key-strains/traits belonging to that of Olympia (USA), dam Miss Olympia – female family 4-P. With references @ Mit. DNA identify heritage as Regulus mare.

(side-note: Chasing Yesterday, chestnut filly 5 starts, 4 wins – by Tapit, from Littleprincessemma, where Tapit’s key strains to female family 13-C i.e. Mr Prospector/Seattle Slew/Le Fabuleux (FR) take heritage to Regulus mare. )

We find harmony of genetics works stronger than the sex-balancing towards few, major-players of the pedigree. What we mean is to find (at best) genus, the bloodlines which we may assume has truer genotype.

The more composing harmony of the genetics, comes bio-mechanics/structure/ability.

It’s back to school, knowing basics, by these terms, as written from  The Australian & New Zealand Thoroughbred – Ross du Bourg  – whose complete work, lives on….

gene: the unit of inheritance transmitted by the chromosome

genotype: the fundamental hereditary constitution of an organism; the genetic formula of the organism.

homozygote: an organism that contains two identical genes for the same characteristic, and hence will breed true for that characteristic if mated with an organism similarly homozygous for that characteristic.

heterozygote: an organism that contains two dissimilar genes for the same characteristic, and there will not always breed true to type.

prepotency: the ability of one parent to impress its hereditary characteristics on its progeny because it has more homozygous, dominant or epistatic (the gene which determines whether a trait will be expressed. One parent is prepotent when it consistently outperforms its partner in transmitting critical racing characteristics.

 

Cheers for now cropped-nyme31478829496

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